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Vw in China

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Volkswagen Group’s China Expansion
Harrison O’Neil, Oct 2013

For investors interested in VW’s viability

Tuesday, January 14, 14

China: quick facts
- In 1985, China had 20,000 privately owned vehicles. (Spinelli, 2013.) - China’s citizens have invested in private personal transportation as they have gotten wealthier. (AFP, 2013). - In 2009, China displaced the United States as the largest car market in the world. (Schmitt, 2011) - 240 million cars on road in total; 15.1 million sold in 2012. (Cho, 2013) - China’s market is set to double by 2019 and is the key to the future. (AFP, 2013)

(China Daily, 2012)

(Industry Trend, 2010)

Tuesday, January 14, 14

VW AG: dominating China
Volkswagen has been the biggest player in the Chinese auto market for over a decade, in spite of geographic and cultural barriers. How has the auto group managed this level of domination?

(Schmitt, 2011)

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A Song of Tariffs & Loopholes
• High import taxes mean that a Swedish-made Koenigsegg Agrera that would cost ~ $2,000,000 in North America and the EU runs for $4,700,000 in China. (Spinelli, 2013.) This is due to a 25% CIF (cost, insurance and freight) tax, a 17% value-added tax, and a consumption tax based on engine displacement ranging from 1%-40%. (Want China Times, 2013.)

VW has counteracted by building many of its luxury models, including the Audi Q5 SUV and bestselling Audi A4L, on Chinese soil. (VW AG, 2009.) This allows VW to bypass import taxes and reduce distribution costs, which gives VW a potential cost advantage over many of its competitors.

Reuters, 2013

Tuesday, January 14, 14

The Rear-Seat Culture
• • In a country where a family only has one child and labor is so cheap that even the moderately wealthy can afford a chauffeur, the driving culture is different. Audi has managed to win big in China’s luxury market by catering to local tastes & preferences. Case in point: elongating the A6 by 100mm (4 inches) to give the rear seats more leg room for the owner. (Tianyang, 2012.) Audi’s elongated China-tailored A4L and A6L were so successful that rivals Buick, Volvo, BMW and Mercedes-Benz started elongating their own products to stay competitive. (Jing Daily, 2012.)



Yin, 2012

Tuesday, January 14, 14

Guanxi
Connection Relation

In Western markets, consumers tend to buy cars based on reviews from media outlets like Consumer Reports, Motortrend, and Car & Driver. Media coverage is determined by how pleasurable journalists’ time reviewing a given car was. This is in contrast to China, where success is determined by guanxi. Guanxi loosely translates to ‘connections,’ but there is no direct translation. Simply put, guanxi is the Chinese extended circle of business friends that determines the failure and success of an individual or corporation. Everything from securing a business license to getting healthcare to landing a joint-venture is determined by connections. (Balfour, 2007.) Guanxi is important to understanding any business in China, and VW’s market performance is no exception. VW-Audi was one of the few western carmakers to enter the Chinese market under the 1978 economic reforms of the Deng Xiaoping administration. (VGC, 2009.) 35 years later, Audi is still widely perceived to be the semi-official car of government bureaucrats. (Jacobs, 2011.) Audi’s brand image is more established with government officials than any of its competitors, which gives Volkswagen an advantage over the likes of BMW, Fiat SPA, and Daimler AG.

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Geography
Over 5,000 miles separate German manufacturing & culture from Chinese consumers. Rather than reinventing the wheel, VW wisely elected to conquer the Chinese marketplace through joint-ventures with First Auto Works and SAIC Motor. (Wiki, 2013)

Tuesday, January 14, 14

Geography
While most of VW’s competitors focus on China’s bigger and wealthier cities, VW recognizes the opportunity of emerging areas, such as the landlocked $4100-GDP Per Capita Gansu province (highlighted orange). “Volkswagen’s early entry into China meant that our outlets focused on bigger, developed cities,” said Soh Weiming, VW China’s Executive Vice President. “Now, we have to expand beyond them.” He describes lessdeveloped Chinese cities as ‘bread and butter.’ (Ho, 2012.)

(Google Maps, 2013)

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Market Composition
• China continues to grow wealthier, but the wealth distribution is concentrated at the top of the pyramid. Only ~0.4 of Chinese are millionaires, as compared to 4.5% for the United States and 9.9% for Switzerland (Businessweek, 2011).

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Market Composition
- Chinese consumers are mostly interested in commuter cars in the compact to midsize range.

- With the exceptions of the VW Tiguan, Great Wall Hover, & Audi A6L, China’s bestsellers are all four-door family sedans. - A major contributor to Volkswagen’s domination is that is has every market segment covered by at least one brand.

(China Daily, 2012)

Tuesday, January 14, 14

Bibliography
Agence France Presse (AFP). (2013). China's Booming Auto Market Will Nearly Double By 2019. Business Insider. Retrieved from http:// www.businessinsider.com/chinese-auto-market-to-double-by-2019-2013-8#ixzz2huyYTuEl Balfour, F. (2007). You Say Guanxi, I Say Schmoozing. Bloomberg Businessweek Magazine. Retrieved from http://www.businessweek.com/ stories/2007-11-18/you-say-guanxi-i-say-schmoozing Businessweek. (2011). Twenty Countries With The Highest Proportion of Millionaires. Bloomberg Businessweek Finance. Retrieved from http:// images.businessweek.com/slideshows/20110602/twenty-countries-with-the-highest-proportion-of-millionaires#slide15 China Daily. (2012). Deals on wheels. China Daily US Version. Retrieved from http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/cndy/2012-09/24/ content_15776507.htm Cho, Y.S. (2013). China Vehicle Population Hits 240 Million as Smog Engulfs Cities. Bloomberg News. Retrieved from http:// www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-02-01/china-vehicle-population-hits-240-million-as-smog-engulfs-cities.html Google Maps. (2013). Retrieved from https://maps.google.com/. Ho, C.K. (2012). For VW, the Path to Global Dominance Leads Through China. Bloomberg News. Retrieved from http://www.bloomberg.com/ news/2012-11-25/for-vw-the-path-to-global-dominance-leads-through-china.html Industry Trend, (2010). Understanding the Chinese automotive market for 2010. Electro to Auto Forum. Retrieved from http://e2af.com/trend/ 100317.shtml Jacobs, A. & Century, A. (2011). In China, Car Brands Evoke an Unexpected Set of Stereotypes. New York Times. Retrieved from http:// www.nytimes.com/2011/11/15/business/global/in-china-car-brands-evoke-an-unexpected-set-of-stereotypes.html Jing Daily, (2010). MERCEDES-BENZ AND BMW ANNOUNCE NEW ELONGATED MODELS FOR CHINA MARKET. Jing Daily. Retrieved from http://www.jingdaily.com/mercedes-benz-and-bmw-announce-new-elongated-models-for-china-market/3211/

Tuesday, January 14, 14

Bibliography
Reuters, (2013). Volkswagen opens southern China car plant as sales boom. DW.DE. Retrieved from http://www.dw.de/volkswagen-openssouthern-china-car-plant-as-sales-boom/a-17114543 Schmitt, B. (2011). After Massive Losses Of Chinese Market Share: A Big Wave Of Toyota Buyers. The Truth About Cars. Retrieved from http:// www.thetruthaboutcars.com/2011/08/after-massive-losses-of-chinese-market-share-a-big-wave-of-toyota-buyers/ Spinelli, M. (2013). China Special: Bentley Flying Spur, Supercars, and Cool Cars Town. /DRIVEN. Retrieved from https://www.youtube.com/ watch?v=r6RhDMaRasw#t=729 Tianyang, H. (2012). Legend of locally made Audi A6 continues with latest generation. China Daily. Retrieved from http:// www.chinadaily.com.cn/business/2012-11/19/content_15942212.htm VGC, 2009. Volkswagen Group China: Summary. Retrieved from http://www.vgc.com.cn/cds/?menu_uid=551 VW AG, 2009. Audi opens new assembly hall in Changchun. Retrieved from http://www.volkswagenag.com/content/vwcorp/info_center/en/ news/2009/09/changchun.html Want China Times Staff Reporter, 2013. Why foreign cars are expensive in China. Want China Times. Retrieved from http:// www.wantchinatimes.com/news-subclass-cnt.aspx?id=20130805000005&cid=1102 Wiki, 2013. Wikipedia. Retrieved from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shanghai_Volkswagen_Automotive & https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FAWVolkswagen Yin, S.C. (2012). In China, ‘Audi’ Means ‘Big Shot.’ New York Times. Retrieved from http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/18/fashion/in-chinaaudi-means-big-shot.html?_r=0

Tuesday, January 14, 14

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