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Strategic Report for Harley Davidson

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Strategic Report for
Harley Davidson

April 4, 2006

1

Table of Contents
Executive Summary ………………………………………………………… 3
Company History ……………………………………………………………. 4
Five Forces Analysis
Internal Rivalry ………………………………………………………. 8
Entry …………………………………………………………………….. 9
Substitutes and Complements …………………………………. 9
Supplier and Buyer Power ………………………………………. 10
Financial Analysis ………………………………………………………….. 11
Strategic Issues and Recommendations ………………………….. 17

2

Executive Summary
Harley Davidson remains a financially strong and stable company. During 2005 the company reported the 19th consecutive year of record revenues and record earnings.
While Harley Davidson’s growth has slowed over the past several years the decline in growth rates are primarily attributable to a maturing market, which results in lower growth rates for all member of the motorcycle sub-industry. During 2006 Standard and
Poor’s predicts that the motorcycle sub-industry will grow between 1% and 3%, a much slower rate than the double digit annual gains the sector saw throughout the 90’s and late 80’s.

Despite the company’s strong financial outlook the stock price has not been performing well over the past year. The stock price fell dramatically in April 2005 when Harley
Davidson management lowered guidance of new motorcycle shipments to the network of independent dealers. Wall Street analysts proceeded to predict doom for the company as it appeared that it would be unable to continue its trend of strong growth.
Although the company actually produced results that were in the upper bound of its guidance and within the guidance from before April the stock price has yet to recover to its earlier levels. It seems that Harley Davidson management’s strategy of underpromising and over-delivering has backfired, especially because analysts remain wary of the company’s prospects

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