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Financial Transactions

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Submitted By vagard
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Transaction Exposure
When conducting business aboard, cash inflows are affected when a variety of currencies are involved. In the case of Nike’s proposal to expand in India, there are ways to migrate exchange rate risks by exposing the possible risks before they affect the company’s profit margin. One method is the transaction exposure. Transaction exposure is the degree to which the value of future cash transactions that are affected by exchange rate fluctuations. According to Madura,
“Transaction exposure can have a substantial impact on a firm’s earnings. It is not unusual for a currency to change by as much as 10 percent in a given year. If an exporter denominates its exports in a foreign currency, a 10 percent decline in that currency will reduce the dollar value of its receivables by 10 percent. This effect could possibly eliminate any profits from exporting” (Thomson South-Western 2006).

To assess transaction exposure, Nike will need to estimate its net cash flows in each currency and measure the potential impact of the currency exposure. According to Madura,
“To measure its transaction exposure, an MNC needs to project the consolidated net amount in currency inflows or outflows for all its subsidiaries, categorized by currency….Estimating the consolidated net cash flows per currency is a useful first step when assessing an MNC’s exposure because it helps to determine the MNC’s overall position in each currency” (Thomson South-Western 2006).
The standard deviation statistic measures the degree of movement for each currency. It helps to identify currencies whose values are most likely to be stable or highly variable in the future. The equation for a portfolio’s standard deviation suggests that positive cash flows in highly correlated currencies result in higher exchange rate risk for the MNC. The best technique to eliminate transaction exposure is

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